The Best Investment you will ever make…

House Price Changes Over the Years

Statistics can be used to prove and show anything. However we all know that over time property prices have increased. Below are four examples, from different sources that show property prices increasing over the last 30-80 years.

 

Property never goes in a smooth line and most people would expect the prices to be the same for the next 12-18 months, but we will then have been in a period since 2004 until now where prices have not really risen (they went up and came back down). So 8/9 years later (from 2004) we are at the same prices. This has been common in previous dips but is followed by rises above average.

 

No one has a crystal ball, but they support our belief that house prices will continue to rise in time. We project all our modelling at 4% market growth even though the average for the last 80 years is 7.9%. This means we are very conservative.

 

Source 1

Since 1957 property prices have risen on average 11.3% a year (source land registry)

 

Source 2

The Sun – Saturday 1st January 2011. Backed by The nationwide house price index.

House prices increased every single year between 2000 and 2010 except for in 2008 when they dropped 15.9%. Overall in the decade prices more than doubled.

 

Source 3

Press release from the Halifax at 2004, showing price changes during different governments (I dont mind who the government was – I am interested in the rises)

( I also don’t mind the fact data is from 2004 as it the years backwards we are showing here).

Prime Minister (Term of Office) Average Annual increase within term Increase over term of office in total £10,000 house price in 1964
Harold Wilson (Oct 1964-June 1970) 6% 45% £14,500
Edward Heath (June 1970–March 1974) 24% 124% £34,281
Harold Wilson(March 1974–April 1976) 7% 15% £39,423
James Callaghan (Apr 1976-May 1979) 16% 57% £61,894
Margaret Thatcher (May 1979-Nov 1990) 12% 259% £215,303
John Major (Nov 1990-May 1997) 1% 7% £230,374
Tony Blair (May 1997 – 2004) 12% 123% £509,284
My stats (2004- now) Approx 2% Approx 10% £560,212

 

Source 4

Daily Mail – Monday January 31st 2011. Backed with research by the Halifax.

North of England £100,000 house in 1983 South of England £100,000 house in 1983
1983-1990 107% increase £207,000 118% increase £218,000
1990-2000 19% increase £246,330 46% increase £318,280
2000-2010 102% increase £497,586 75% increase £556,990

 

So in the North the overall growth over 30 years is that the property has increased in value by 5 times. In the South it has been 5.5 times. 6% per year for the last 30 years.

 

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